Palestinian Opinion Poll - July 12, 2010
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Palestinian Opinion Poll - July 12, 2010
01) The Palestinian government with Salam Fayyad as its Prime Minister has declared the postponement of the municipal council elections until further notice. Are you with or against the postponement decision?
02) What do you think is the main reason that induced the Palestinian Prime Minister, Mr. Salam Fayyad, to postpone the date of the local municipal elections?
03) In general, to which extent are you content with the mechanism applied for setting up the candidates’ lists during the preparation period for the municipal councils’ elections, which are postponed until further notice?
04) Having experienced now the process of setting up the candidate’s lists for the municipal council elections, do you think that the proportional representation (list system) is better than the system applied in 2006 (voting for individual candidates and winning by majority of the votes) or vice versa?
05) Who, you believe, is mostly benefiting from the flotillas sent to break the Gaza blockade?
06) How would you rate the meeting of the PA President Abu Mazin with the US-President Barack Obama?
07) Do you think the present US-administration under the President Barack Obama would back the plan of recognizing a Palestinian state within the next two years irrespective of its approval or disapproval by Israel?
08) Do you think, in general, the United States of America strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat doesn’t support, or doesn’t support at all Israel?
09) What are your anticipations of the success chances of the indirect Israeli-Palestinian negotiations? Will they succeed or fail in reaching an agreement of permanent peace?
10) Do you expect the realization of a peace agreement between the Palestinians and the Israelis next year?
11) Do you think the Israelis are concerned about making peace with the Palestinians?
12) Assuming the negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis would fail, do you expect the outbreak of a third Intifada?
13) Are you more optimistic or pessimistic than in the past regarding the possibility of reaching a final solution accord between Israel and the Palestinians?
14) Do you think that the Palestinians must renounce their right of home return, which Israel will never accept, in exchange for having an independent Palestinian state and the conclusion of a peace deal with Israel?
15) If the Palestinian leadership would waive the right of home return in exchange for a financial compensation, would you accept or refuse that?
16) Some people have confidence in Hamas political leadership, others in Fateh political leadership, whilst others have no confidence in both leaderships. Which of the following statements is closer to your opinion?
17) The internal fighting in Gaza led to the split of Gaza Strip from the West Bank and the creation of two separate governments, one in Gaza and the other in the West Bank. What is – in your opinion – the most feasible solution for the settlement of this problem?
18) Do you support or oppose the intention of the PA President, Mr. Mahmoud Abbas, to pay a visit to Gaza Strip in the near future?
19) Do you watch daily the World Cup Football Competition on TV?
20) Which of the following football teams do you expect to win the FIFA World Cup?
(Pre-coded, open answer)
Methodology of the Survey Study:
Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies’ Section at the PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the respondents’ homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at least five hours a’ day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper presentation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using the Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a total of (156) election sites, from which (117) are located in the West Bank and (39) sites in Gaza Strip.
Mr. E. Kukali has further established that the margin of error in this poll was (+- 3.09 %) at a confidence level of (95 %). He added that the rate of the female respondents in this survey was (49.4 %) and that of the male respondents was (50.6%) . The distribution of the random sample between the Palestinian two major regions was (64.4 %) in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and (35.6 %) in Gaza Strip, allocated as follows: (52.7 %) urban areas, (31.1 %) rural areas and (16.2 %) refugee camps. The average age of the sample respondents was 34.8 years.
Source: Palestinian Center for Public Opinion
Response | Percentage |
1. With the postponement decision | 46.8 |
2. Against the postponement decision | 41.2 |
3. Don’t know | 12 |
02) What do you think is the main reason that induced the Palestinian Prime Minister, Mr. Salam Fayyad, to postpone the date of the local municipal elections?
Response | Percentage |
1. Giving more chance to the efforts working on lifting the Gaza blockade and the reunion of both country territories. | 39.6 |
2. Differences inside Fateh about candidacy procedures and candidate lists. | 37.6 |
3. Responding to Hamas demands | 3.3 |
4. A new precedent, not respecting the multiplicity and a blow to the democratic process | 3.2 |
5. Israel is not willing to have the elections at present. | 10.2 |
6. The United States and Europe are not encouraging to run these elections at present. | 6.0 |
03) In general, to which extent are you content with the mechanism applied for setting up the candidates’ lists during the preparation period for the municipal councils’ elections, which are postponed until further notice?
Response | Percentage |
1.Content | 19.9 |
2. Somewhat content | 43.3 |
3. Discontent | 24.5 |
4. Don’t know | 12.4 |
04) Having experienced now the process of setting up the candidate’s lists for the municipal council elections, do you think that the proportional representation (list system) is better than the system applied in 2006 (voting for individual candidates and winning by majority of the votes) or vice versa?
Response | Percentage |
1. The proportional representation (the new system) is better | 44.9 |
2. The system applied in 2005 (voting for individual candidates) is better | 41.9 |
3. Don’t know | 13.2 |
05) Who, you believe, is mostly benefiting from the flotillas sent to break the Gaza blockade?
Response | Percentage |
1. The Gazans | 65.2 |
2. Hamas and its leadership | 25.7 |
3. Israel | 1.4 |
4. Fateh | 1.4 |
5. International Islamic movements | 6.3 |
06) How would you rate the meeting of the PA President Abu Mazin with the US-President Barack Obama?
Response | Percentage |
1. Very positive | 6.2 |
2. Somewhat positive | 38 |
3. Somewhat negative | 28.9 |
4. Very negative | 17.2 |
5. Don’t know | 9.6 |
07) Do you think the present US-administration under the President Barack Obama would back the plan of recognizing a Palestinian state within the next two years irrespective of its approval or disapproval by Israel?
Response | Percentage |
1. Yes | 13.3 |
2. No | 76.5 |
3. Don’t know | 10.2 |
08) Do you think, in general, the United States of America strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat doesn’t support, or doesn’t support at all Israel?
Response | Percentage |
1. Strongly support Israel | 73.6 |
2. Somewhat support Israel | 19.5 |
3. Somewhat doesn’t support Israel | 2.4 |
4. Doesn’t support Israel at all | 2.6 |
5. Don’t know | 1.9 |
09) What are your anticipations of the success chances of the indirect Israeli-Palestinian negotiations? Will they succeed or fail in reaching an agreement of permanent peace?
Response | Percentage |
1. Certainly, they will succeed | 1.5 |
2. They will succeed | 36.6 |
3. They will fail | 41.1 |
4. They will surely fail | 11.4 |
5. No opinion / Don’t know | 9.4 |
10) Do you expect the realization of a peace agreement between the Palestinians and the Israelis next year?
Response | Percentage |
1.Yes | 4.4 |
2. Likely | 47.2 |
3. No | 45.8 |
4. Don’t know | 2.5 |
11) Do you think the Israelis are concerned about making peace with the Palestinians?
Response | Percentage |
1. Yes | 10.9 |
2. To some extent | 32.3 |
3. No | 53.3 |
4. Don’t know | 3.6 |
12) Assuming the negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis would fail, do you expect the outbreak of a third Intifada?
Response | Percentage |
1. Yes | 31.9 |
2. No | 50.7 |
3. Don’t know | 17.3 |
13) Are you more optimistic or pessimistic than in the past regarding the possibility of reaching a final solution accord between Israel and the Palestinians?
Response | Percentage |
1. More optimistic than in the past | 8.4 |
2. Same extent of optimism as in the past | 35.2 |
3. Same extent of pessimism as in the past | 30.3 |
4. More pessimistic than in the past | 20.9 |
5. Don’t know / No attitude | 5.2 |
14) Do you think that the Palestinians must renounce their right of home return, which Israel will never accept, in exchange for having an independent Palestinian state and the conclusion of a peace deal with Israel?
Response | Percentage |
1. Yes, the Palestinians must do that | 14.0 |
2. No, they shouldn’t do that even if the price would be the non- conclusion of a peace deal with Israel | 81.7 |
3. I have no opinion | 4.3 |
15) If the Palestinian leadership would waive the right of home return in exchange for a financial compensation, would you accept or refuse that?
Response | Percentage |
1. I would accept that | 13.1 |
2. I would refuse that | 81.8 |
3. Don’t know | 5.1 |
16) Some people have confidence in Hamas political leadership, others in Fateh political leadership, whilst others have no confidence in both leaderships. Which of the following statements is closer to your opinion?
Response | Percentage |
1. I have confidence in Hamas leadership | 33.7 |
2. I have confidence in Fateh leadership | 46.0 |
3. I have no confidence in both leaderships | 16.5 |
4. I don’t know | 3.8 |
17) The internal fighting in Gaza led to the split of Gaza Strip from the West Bank and the creation of two separate governments, one in Gaza and the other in the West Bank. What is – in your opinion – the most feasible solution for the settlement of this problem?
Response | Percentage |
1. To return to the government of national unity | 35.4 |
2. To endorse the Egyptian Reconciliation Document | 36.1 |
3. To hold premature elections | 26.6 |
4. To call for UN forces to take responsibility for Gaza Strip | 1.9 |
18) Do you support or oppose the intention of the PA President, Mr. Mahmoud Abbas, to pay a visit to Gaza Strip in the near future?
Response | Percentage |
1. Strongly support | 25.6 |
2. Support | 43.7 |
3. Undecided | 14.2 |
4. Oppose | 7.4 |
5. Strongly oppose | 6.9 |
6. Don’t know | 2.2 |
19) Do you watch daily the World Cup Football Competition on TV?
Response | Percentage |
1. Yes (Proceed to Q 21) | 43.2 |
2. No | 56.8 |
20) Which of the following football teams do you expect to win the FIFA World Cup?
(Pre-coded, open answer)
Response | Percentage |
1. France | 5.2 |
2. Algeria | 7.3 |
3. Holland | 1.3 |
4. Ghana | 1.5 |
5. Germany | 7.8 |
6. Great Britain | 3.7 |
7. Italy | 9.1 |
8. Portugal | 3.7 |
9. Spain | 4.8 |
10. Brazil | 34.3 |
11. Argentina | 14.5 |
12. Other | 6.8 |
Methodology of the Survey Study:
Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies’ Section at the PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the respondents’ homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at least five hours a’ day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper presentation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using the Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a total of (156) election sites, from which (117) are located in the West Bank and (39) sites in Gaza Strip.
Mr. E. Kukali has further established that the margin of error in this poll was (+- 3.09 %) at a confidence level of (95 %). He added that the rate of the female respondents in this survey was (49.4 %) and that of the male respondents was (50.6%) . The distribution of the random sample between the Palestinian two major regions was (64.4 %) in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and (35.6 %) in Gaza Strip, allocated as follows: (52.7 %) urban areas, (31.1 %) rural areas and (16.2 %) refugee camps. The average age of the sample respondents was 34.8 years.
Source: Palestinian Center for Public Opinion
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